Tuesday, February 13, 2007

It’s an exciting time again for programmers

About a couple of months ago, during the farewell lunch of mine at my previous work place one of my colleague asked me the question “What is the most exciting thing you think will happen to our field (as programmers) in the next 5-10 years?” To my surprise, I did not even pause for long (considering I am usually not very good at this kind of prediction) before I giving out my answer “The increasing parallelism in the hardware”. Now several months have passed, not years, you can already see the movement almost everywhere from hardware to software, from industry to academy. Just when you think Moore’s Law no longer applies to the modern processor design any more, it seems morphed into a different dimension, although the processor speed increase slowed down, the number of independent cores is currently increasing at a dazzling speed. Intel just releases its showcase an 80-core processor prototype. Now just imagine the challenge for software engineers to utilize this kind of concurrency and calculation power. Presently even with some of the natively thread-friendly language such as Java or C#, programmer still had hard-time to build robust and highly parallel software to utilize 8-16(16-32 cores) CPUs in some high-end servers; now imagine 5 years from now not only the high-end servers but almost all the computers even the pocket size ones will have multiple cores. The reality is calling for a new mechanism to deal with this unprecedented new challenge and that’s why Sun is working on Fortress (designed to work with tens of thousand processors, petabytes of memory) and IBM is working on its own X10 language (designed to help people moving from Java platform) to harness the power of this growing beast. Recently an excellent article Unlocking Concurrency was published on ACM Queue magazine, a very interesting read if you are looking for a peek into the future, but nevertheless this is probably the most exciting time for programmers since Object Oriented Programming was invented in 60-70’s.

No comments: